A Total Returns Index for Investor Housing in New Zealand

Author/s: Bob Hargreaves, Song Shi

Date Published: 1/01/2005

Published in: Volume 11 - 2005 Issue 3 (pages 253 - 267)

Abstract

The absence of a total returns index makes it difficult to compare the performance of investor housing between regions and with other asset classes in New Zealand. As a first step in overcoming this deficiency, the authors integrated information from two existing government data bases, the first covering residential rents and the second covering house sales. The relationship between gross rents and net income was established by surveying a random sample of residential property investors. This survey also provided base line information showing private sector investor housing typically sits midway between the lower quartile and median house price bands. The total returns indices confirm that the overall decline in net yields over the last decade has been more than offset by increases in property values.

Download Full Article

Download the Full Article PDF

14445921.2005.11104186.pdf 14445921.2005.11104186.pdf (421kB)

Keywords

Investment Performance - Investor Housing - New Zealand - Total Returns Index

References

  • ARLA, (2004), The ARLA Review and Index, Association of Residential Letting Agents, www.arla.co.uk
  • Bailey, M.J, Muth, R.F & Nourse, H.O. (1963) A Regression Model for Real Estate Price Index Construction. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58, 933–942.
  • Bourassa, S.C, Hoesli, M, & Sun, J. (2005) A Simple Alternative House Price Index Method, Paper presented at Pacific Rim Real Estate Society Conference, Melbourne http://business2.unisa.edu.au/prres/
  • Case, B., & Quigley, J.M (1991) The Dynamics of Real Estate Prices. Review of Economics and Statistics, 73(3), 50–88.
  • Case, B., Pollakowski, H. O. & Wachter, S.M. (1991) The Dynamics of Real Estate Prices. AREUEA Journal, 19, 286–307.
  • Case, B. & Schiller, R.E. (1987) Prices for Single Family Homes Since 1970: New Indices for Four Cities. New England Economic Review, September/October, 45–56.
  • Clapp, J.M., Giaccotto, C., & Tiriroglu, D. (1991) Housing Price Induces Based All Transactions Compared to Repeated Subsamples. AREUEA Journal, 19, 270–285.
  • Clapp, J.M., Giaccotto, C. (1999) Revisions in Repeat Sales Prices indices: Here Today, Gone Tomorrow? Real Estate Economics, 27 (1), 79–104.
  • Costello, G. (1997) Transaction Based Index Methods for Housing Market Analysis. Australian Land Economics Review, 3 (2), 19–27.
  • Department of Building and Housing (2005) Rental Statistics, Tenancy Bond Division, www.dbh.govt.nz
  • Haurin, D. R. & Hendershott, P. (1991) House Price Indexes: Issues and Results. AREUEA Journal, 19, 259–269.
  • Investment Property Databank, (2004) IPD Residential Investment Index, www.ipdindex.co.uk
  • Kiel, K.A. & Zabel, J. (1999) The Accuracy of Owner-provided House Values: The 1978–1991 American Housing Survey, Real Estate Economics, 27, 263–298.
  • Larsen, E. R. & Sommervoll, D. E. (2004) Rising Inequality of Housing: Evidence from Segmented House Price Indices, Housing Theory and Society, 21, 77–88.
  • Linneman, P. (1986) An Empirical Test of the Efficiency of the Housing Market, Journal of Urban Economics, 20, 140–154.
  • Lum, S.K. (2004) Property Price Indices in the Commonwealth- Construction Methodologies and Problems, Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 22, 25–54.
  • Malpezzi, S., Chun, G. H., & Green, R. (1998) New Place-to-Place Housing Price Indexes for US Metropolitan Areas and their Determinants, AREUEA Journal, 26, 235–274.
  • National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (2005) Apartment Returns, www.ncreif.com
  • Newell, G. & MacFarlane, J. (1998) The Effect of Seasonality of Valuations on Property Risk, Journal of Property Research, 15 (3), 167–182.
  • Pendleton, E.C. (1965) Statistical Inference in Appraisal and Assessment Procedures. The Appraisal Journal, 33, 73–82.
  • Property Council NZ, (2004), Investment Performance Index, www.propertynz.co.nz
  • Quigley, J. M. (1995) A Simple Hybrid Model for Estimating Real Estate Price Indexes, Journal of Housing Economics, 4, 1–12.
  • Quotable Value New Zealand, (2004), Urban Property Sales Statistics- Half Year Ended December 2003, Quotable Value, Wellington.
  • Real Estate Institute, (2004), Housing Facts June 2004, www.reinz.co.nz
  • Rossini, P., Kupke, V., Marano, W. & Kershaw, P. (2002) Calculating a better index of return for the residential property sector, Paper presented at PRRES conference, http://business2.unisa.edu.au/prres/
  • Singleton, S.J. (2003), The Accuracy of QV on-line e-valuer in Palmerston North City’s Residential Property Market. Unpublished research report for BBS (Hons), Massey University.
  • Statistics New Zealand, Census 2001, www.statistics.govt.nz